Montecarlo vs Cella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ACF
4 - 2
UDM
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UDM
3 - 2
TER
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 2
UDM
43%
23%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 0
MAG
53%
23%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
GUR
5 - 1
UDM
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CEL
0 - 2
HER
30%
24%
47%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 3
CEL
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CEL
0 - 4
ATC
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MAL
4 - 0
CEL
36%
24%
40%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 1
CAR
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |