Montecarlo vs Cella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
PED
5 - 1
UDM
68%
19%
14%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
UDM
3 - 0
TER
20%
23%
57%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
UDS
1 - 1
UDM
71%
18%
11%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
UDM
0 - 2
TAR
16%
21%
63%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CFB
2 - 1
UDM
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 0
CEL
78%
15%
7%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 2
OLI
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MON
1 - 3
CEL
52%
23%
26%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 1
UDC
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ALF
0 - 1
CEL
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |