Montecarlo vs Cariñena Atl. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MOR
2 - 1
UDM
40%
24%
36%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
UDM
0 - 0
ATL
53%
23%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CEL
1 - 0
UDM
42%
23%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
UDM
0 - 1
ACF
24%
24%
53%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
TER
2 - 1
UDM
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cariñena Atl.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 0
HER
36%
23%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 3
CAR
62%
18%
20%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 1
ATC
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MAL
3 - 1
CAR
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 4
ICF
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |