Montecarlo vs At. Calatayud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
65.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MAL
3 - 1
UDM
48%
24%
29%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
UDM
0 - 2
ICF
16%
21%
63%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
PRA
1 - 2
UDM
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
UDM
2 - 1
CAR
43%
23%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MOR
2 - 1
UDM
40%
24%
36%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
At. Calatayud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ATC
3 - 1
HER
75%
16%
10%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SPO
0 - 3
ATC
16%
19%
65%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ATC
1 - 0
SDB
63%
21%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ATC
3 - 2
MAL
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ICF
1 - 1
ATC
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |