Montecarlo vs At. Calatayud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
UDM
2 - 0
AND
69%
18%
14%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ACF
0 - 1
UDM
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 3
UDM
58%
21%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UDM
1 - 0
LAA
26%
23%
51%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
CDU
3 - 3
UDM
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
At. Calatayud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ATC
0 - 2
EPI
21%
23%
56%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 2
ATC
56%
21%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ATC
0 - 1
ACF
16%
20%
65%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ATC
2 - 3
CDC
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ALF
3 - 1
ATC
44%
22%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |