Montecarlo vs Alfindén A.D analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
DEL
2 - 1
UDM
45%
24%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
UDM
0 - 0
ZUE
35%
24%
42%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MAG
0 - 0
UDM
15%
20%
65%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UDM
4 - 1
CEL
53%
23%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CDC
2 - 1
UDM
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alfindén A.D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ALF
1 - 1
UDS
21%
22%
57%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CFV
2 - 1
ALF
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ALF
0 - 1
SAA
20%
21%
59%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALF
3 - 2
ALC
44%
22%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CDC
0 - 0
ALF
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |