Monte Trigo vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
64.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Trigo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SES
1 - 0
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
VAS
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ALJ
2 - 0
MON
62%
21%
18%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 0
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
ATL
22%
23%
54%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 0
FCC
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MOU
0 - 0
LUS
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
0 - 1
UNI
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SES
3 - 1
LUS
16%
22%
63%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 2
VAS
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |