Monte Trigo vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability

1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25%
Win probability

1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

-1%
-22%

ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Trigo

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Jan. 2013 |
MOU
![]() 4 - 0
![]() MON
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
20 Jan. 2013 |
MON
![]() 1 - 0
![]() LUS
14%
22%
65%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | +1 |
13 Jan. 2013 |
SES
![]() 1 - 0
![]() MON
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
06 Jan. 2013 |
MON
![]() 1 - 0
![]() VAS
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
29 Dec. 2012 |
ALJ
![]() 2 - 0
![]() MON
62%
21%
18%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FC Castrense

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Jan. 2013 |
FCC
![]() 1 - 4
![]() UNI
21%
23%
55%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
20 Jan. 2013 |
FCC
![]() 1 - 2
![]() MOU
19%
22%
59%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
13 Jan. 2013 |
LUS
![]() 2 - 0
![]() FCC
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
06 Jan. 2013 |
FCC
![]() 1 - 1
![]() SES
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
29 Dec. 2012 |
VAS
![]() 2 - 1
![]() FCC
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |