Monte Trigo vs Aljustrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
50.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALJ
1 - 0
SES
49%
24%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DES
0 - 1
ALJ
10%
18%
73%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ALJ
2 - 0
LAG
26%
24%
51%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
QUA
2 - 0
ALJ
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ALJ
4 - 1
PES
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |