Monte Roraima vs AE Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
69.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+483%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Roraima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
GAS
2 - 1
MRF
75%
15%
11%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MRF
5 - 1
PRO
12%
15%
73%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
REC
1 - 1
MRF
40%
22%
38%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AE Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 6
REA
38%
21%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
REA
1 - 2
GAS
34%
22%
44%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
REA
1 - 2
REC
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 6 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
REA
2 - 2
SAO
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
GAS
2 - 2
REA
47%
21%
32%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |