Monte Caparica vs União Santiago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Caparica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
BMA
3 - 2
MCA
20%
21%
59%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MCA
4 - 3
ALM
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 1
MCA
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
OGR
2 - 2
MCA
55%
21%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MCA
3 - 0
ARR
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
União Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
USA
0 - 1
OGR
45%
23%
33%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 2
USA
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
USA
2 - 0
CHC
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
AMO
1 - 1
USA
87%
10%
4%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
USA
3 - 2
SES
25%
23%
52%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |