Monte Caparica vs Olimpico Montijo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Caparica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CIN
2 - 1
MCA
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
MCA
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MCA
0 - 1
FCB
11%
18%
72%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UBA
2 - 0
MCA
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MCA
2 - 0
USA
47%
23%
30%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpico Montijo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
OMO
3 - 2
OGR
14%
19%
67%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
OMO
1 - 1
ARR
48%
23%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CHC
4 - 0
OMO
42%
23%
35%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -3 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
OMO
1 - 2
AMO
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SES
2 - 0
OMO
76%
15%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |