Monte Caparica vs Charneca Caparica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Caparica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
AMO
1 - 1
MCA
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MCA
1 - 0
SES
57%
22%
22%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 3
MCA
38%
24%
38%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MCA
2 - 1
OMO
66%
19%
16%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CIN
2 - 1
MCA
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Charneca Caparica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CHC
1 - 2
OGR
42%
23%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 2
CHC
40%
23%
37%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CHC
1 - 2
ALF
33%
24%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CHC
0 - 2
AMO
9%
16%
75%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SES
1 - 2
CHC
71%
17%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |