Monte Caparica vs Almada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Caparica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 1
MCA
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
OGR
2 - 2
MCA
55%
21%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MCA
3 - 0
ARR
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CHC
1 - 1
MCA
12%
18%
69%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MCA
0 - 0
AMO
9%
16%
76%
|
14 | 48 | 34 | +3 |
Matches
Almada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 1
OGR
32%
23%
45%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 3
ALM
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 0
CHC
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AMO
2 - 0
ALM
88%
9%
3%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
3 - 1
SES
14%
20%
66%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | +2 |