Monte Caparica vs Alfarim GD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Caparica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MCA
0 - 3
OGR
51%
22%
26%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 2
MCA
17%
20%
62%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MCA
1 - 1
CHC
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
AMO
1 - 1
MCA
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MCA
1 - 0
SES
57%
22%
22%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alfarim GD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ALF
3 - 2
CIN
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
OGR
1 - 1
ALF
42%
24%
35%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 0
ALC
22%
22%
56%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 2
ALF
24%
23%
54%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALF
0 - 2
FCB
11%
18%
71%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | -1 |