Copa Paulista Knock-outs Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Monte Azul vs União São João analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
MON
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
COM
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
MON
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
VOC
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VOC
0 - 1
MON
15%
21%
64%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
MON
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 1
UNI
34%
25%
42%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAT
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ECN
0 - 1
UNI
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
ECN
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |