Monte Azul vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
4 - 1
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
VEL
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
ATL
41%
26%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 1
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MON
1 - 2
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
RIO
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BAT
0 - 1
UNI
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
VEL
2 - 2
UNI
45%
25%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 0
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
UNI
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |