Monte Azul vs Taubaté analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
PAU
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 1
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
BAT
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
TAU
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
TAU
2 - 1
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TAU
1 - 0
RIO
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
TAU
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TAU
1 - 1
VOT
47%
24%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |