Monte Azul vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
GRE
51%
24%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
IND
3 - 1
MON
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ATI
0 - 1
MON
42%
26%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
MON
2 - 2
RIO
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
POR
59%
24%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 0
POR
56%
26%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLA
63%
23%
14%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
SAO
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 1
OLI
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
SAO
34%
26%
41%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |