Monte Azul vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
RIO
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 2
MON
46%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 2
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MON
0 - 2
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAO
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
JUV
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
SAO
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 0
SAO
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |