Monte Azul vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 0
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
MON
70%
18%
13%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MON
2 - 3
PAU
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
MON
2 - 2
ITU
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 2
MON
63%
20%
16%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 0
ITU
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 1
RIO
86%
11%
3%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 1
OES
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
SER
1 - 1
RIO
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
GRÊ
3 - 2
RIO
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |