Monte Azul vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ITA
1 - 2
MON
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 1
MON
80%
15%
5%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
VOT
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VOT
1 - 0
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
UNI
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RIO
3 - 1
BER
26%
26%
48%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 0
SAO
18%
25%
58%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
RBB
3 - 1
RIO
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
CAP
16%
21%
63%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PRI
3 - 2
RIO
69%
20%
11%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |