Monte Azul vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
MON
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
JUV
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
MON
54%
25%
22%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
1 - 1
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MON
1 - 3
GUA
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
JUV
3 - 2
RIO
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
UNI
33%
26%
42%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MIR
3 - 1
RIO
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
RIO
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 4
SAN
36%
26%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -2 |