Monte Azul vs Primavera SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 2
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
VEL
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
PPE
3 - 0
MON
82%
14%
5%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
TAU
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PRI
0 - 1
RIO
44%
28%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
PRI
2 - 2
XVD
22%
27%
51%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 0
PRI
41%
28%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
PRI
3 - 2
OES
20%
24%
57%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 1
PRI
37%
29%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |