Monte Azul vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
OLI
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SJS
0 - 1
MON
41%
25%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
SAO
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
PAU
1 - 0
ATI
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PAU
1 - 2
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
INT
2 - 0
PAU
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 2
PAU
41%
28%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 0
XVD
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |