Monte Azul vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
BER
1 - 1
MON
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CAP
3 - 0
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
MON
3 - 0
ATI
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 0
MON
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
MON
45%
25%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
MOG
0 - 1
BAR
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MOG
1 - 1
MAN
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
VEL
3 - 1
MOG
49%
26%
26%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
MOG
0 - 1
SAO
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
TAB
1 - 0
MOG
53%
23%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |