Monte Azul vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
61.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LEM
0 - 2
MON
19%
21%
60%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
LIN
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
JUV
36%
27%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
XVD
1 - 0
MON
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 3
MON
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
FER
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
FER
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ATH
1 - 2
FER
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
ATH
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 1
FER
28%
29%
43%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |