Monte Azul vs Ferroviária analysis

Monte Azul Ferroviária
50 ELO 63
-13% Tilt -6.1%
4081º General ELO ranking 1075º
130º Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
16.1%
Monte Azul
22.7%
Draw
61.2%
Ferroviária

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
Monte Azul
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
61.2%
Win probability
Ferroviária
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Monte Azul
-13%
-4%
Ferroviária

ELO progression

Monte Azul
Ferroviária
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Monte Azul
Monte Azul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2023
LEM
Lemense
0 - 2
Monte Azul
MON
19%
21%
60%
49 38 11 0
05 Mar. 2023
MON
Monte Azul
1 - 0
Linense CA
LIN
33%
26%
41%
48 53 5 +1
01 Mar. 2023
MON
Monte Azul
1 - 1
CA Juventus
JUV
36%
27%
38%
48 52 4 0
25 Feb. 2023
XVD
XV de Piracicaba
1 - 0
Monte Azul
MON
69%
19%
12%
49 61 12 -1
19 Feb. 2023
NOR
Noroeste
1 - 3
Monte Azul
MON
60%
23%
17%
47 56 9 +2

Matches

Ferroviária
Ferroviária
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2023
FER
Ferroviário
2 - 1
Ferroviária
FER
45%
28%
28%
65 63 2 0
14 Sep. 2023
FER
Ferroviária
0 - 0
Ferroviário
FER
44%
28%
28%
65 64 1 0
10 Sep. 2023
ATH
Athletic Club
1 - 2
Ferroviária
FER
43%
29%
28%
64 64 0 +1
07 Sep. 2023
FER
Ferroviária
1 - 0
Athletic Club
ATH
41%
29%
30%
63 65 2 +1
03 Sep. 2023
SOU
Sousa
1 - 1
Ferroviária
FER
28%
29%
43%
64 55 9 -1