Monte Azul vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
MON
1 - 0
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
RIO
4 - 2
MON
48%
24%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 0
MON
57%
21%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
MON
2 - 2
OES
44%
25%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
FER
2 - 2
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 1
BAN
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
BOT
3 - 1
ECN
57%
22%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
OES
2 - 0
BOT
36%
24%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 0
RIO
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
AME
2 - 3
BOT
35%
24%
41%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |