Monte Azul vs Batatais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 0
MON
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
VOT
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 1
MON
46%
24%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Batatais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BAT
2 - 2
BRA
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 1
BAT
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BAT
3 - 1
VOT
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
BAT
32%
24%
45%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
BAT
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |