Paulista A3 Final
Global 2-4
Monte Azul vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2019 |
AUD
2 - 2
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
DES
1 - 2
MON
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
MON
0 - 0
DES
33%
27%
41%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CAP
0 - 2
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
CAP
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2019 |
AUD
2 - 2
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 2
AUD
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
AUD
0 - 1
BAR
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
VEL
0 - 2
AUD
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
AUD
0 - 0
VEL
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |