Monte Azul vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 1
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MON
1 - 2
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
GUA
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
MON
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MON
3 - 2
GRE
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 0
ATL
38%
24%
38%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 0
UNI
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
ATL
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
IND
3 - 1
ATL
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |