Monte Azul vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
43.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
RIO
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
MON
2 - 2
NOR
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 2
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
5 - 1
UNI
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 3
ATL
34%
25%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
4 - 1
VEL
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
ATL
25%
23%
52%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
SAO
50%
24%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |