Monte Azul vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
MON
54%
23%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
XVD
2 - 0
MON
60%
21%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
CAT
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
MAR
37%
23%
40%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
FER
0 - 4
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
MON
54%
23%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 1
ATL
46%
23%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 1
XVD
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 1
ATL
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
AUD
50%
23%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |