Monte Azul vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
49.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
CAT
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 0
MON
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SER
2 - 1
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
MON
0 - 0
FER
29%
25%
47%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MOG
0 - 1
MON
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 2
JUV
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
ATL
37%
23%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 1
SAO
53%
22%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CAT
1 - 1
ATL
30%
23%
48%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 1
ATL
57%
21%
22%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |