Montcada vs Morell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montcada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
TOR
3 - 0
MON
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
MON
1 - 1
SCR
59%
22%
20%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
PSE
0 - 0
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MON
2 - 1
MAR
80%
13%
6%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CAS
1 - 0
MON
80%
14%
6%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MOR
2 - 2
FCM
52%
24%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
MON
4 - 3
MOR
71%
18%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
TOR
0 - 1
MOR
78%
15%
7%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 1
SCR
32%
25%
43%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
PSE
1 - 1
MOR
73%
17%
11%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |