Montcada vs Cf Lloret analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montcada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
JUN
71%
18%
12%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 3
MON
63%
20%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MON
0 - 2
CFM
57%
22%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PER
0 - 0
MON
75%
16%
9%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MON
2 - 6
GRA
51%
23%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Cf Lloret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CFL
0 - 0
SAN
29%
24%
47%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CFM
4 - 0
CFL
61%
21%
19%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CFL
1 - 1
PER
20%
22%
58%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 1
CFL
66%
19%
15%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CFL
3 - 1
CEF
42%
24%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |