Montcada B vs Juan XXIII analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montcada B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
5 - 1
MON
68%
17%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
MON
45%
22%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
BAN
53%
20%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MON
1 - 4
CDE
19%
19%
63%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
MON
57%
20%
23%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Juan XXIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
JUA
1 - 2
BAN
58%
19%
23%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CDE
5 - 1
JUA
77%
13%
10%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
JUA
3 - 3
MAR
62%
18%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
JUA
3 - 1
JUN
23%
20%
57%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
PAJ
3 - 2
JUA
61%
19%
20%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |