Montcada vs Begur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
46.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montcada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ARG
0 - 3
MON
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
PAR
18%
20%
62%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TOS
5 - 2
MON
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 3
MON
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MON
0 - 2
CGI
24%
21%
55%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Begur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BEG
2 - 7
MAN
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CGI
2 - 1
BEG
43%
21%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BEG
2 - 0
BLA
48%
22%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
1 - 1
BEG
42%
23%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BEG
1 - 2
BAN
48%
23%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |