Montbau vs Alzamora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
47.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
MON
56%
20%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
PBC
41%
22%
38%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SPG
1 - 1
MON
48%
20%
32%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MON
7 - 1
GRA
59%
19%
23%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CER
4 - 2
MON
57%
21%
22%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alzamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ALZ
2 - 0
GOL
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FUN
2 - 4
ALZ
30%
23%
48%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALZ
1 - 2
BBV
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PBA
1 - 5
ALZ
63%
18%
18%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ALZ
1 - 4
CEC
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |