Montbau vs Alzamora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
70.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MON
3 - 4
PAR
37%
20%
43%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
MON
0 - 2
LCO
52%
21%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
GUI
58%
19%
23%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 2
MON
75%
14%
12%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
BPA
55%
20%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Alzamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 2
ALZ
12%
16%
72%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ALZ
4 - 0
PNA
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
GOT
1 - 2
ALZ
29%
21%
51%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 4
ALZ
24%
19%
56%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ALZ
1 - 0
LCO
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |