Montagnarde vs Union Sportive Fougères analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
52.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
14º
14º
41
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montagnarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
BRE
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SBR
3 - 0
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
LOC
27%
24%
50%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SAU
3 - 3
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
STA
9%
19%
72%
|
23 | 56 | 33 | +3 |
Matches
Union Sportive Fougères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
USF
2 - 1
LAN
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 1
USF
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 3
USF
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +3 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
USF
10 - 2
UST
88%
9%
3%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SBR
0 - 4
USF
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |