Montagnarde vs Stade Brestois II analysis


26	ELO	27
-16.2%	Tilt	-9.8%
20166º	General ELO ranking	20170º
488º	Country ELO ranking	492º
ELO win probability

38.2%

Montagnarde

24.3%

Draw

37.5%

Stade Brestois II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

38.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%

24.3%

Draw

0-0

5%

1-1

11.2%

2-2

6.3%

3-3

1.6%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.3%

37.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

14º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

21

5º

14º

26

4º

14º

12º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

12º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	54	57	1º	100%
2º	46	49	2º	100%
3º	41	44	3º	51%
4º	39	42	4º	51%
5º	37	37	5º	57%
6º	35	36	6º	21%
7º	33	36	7º	64%
8º	31	32	8º	78.5%
9º	30	31	9º	78.5%
10º	30	30	10º	80%
11º	27	27	11º	47%
12º	26	26	12º	67%
13º	23	23	13º	66%
14º	21	22	14º	66%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Mid-table	0%	0%
Relegation	100%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montagnarde

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
03 Sep. 2022	SBR 3 - 0 MON 64% 19% 17%	27	31	4	0
27 Aug. 2022	MON 1 - 1 LOC 27% 24% 50%	26	33	7	+1
06 Mar. 2021	SAU 3 - 3 MON 55% 23% 22%	26	31	5	0
20 Feb. 2021	MON 1 - 1 STA 9% 19% 72%	23	56	33	+3
14 Feb. 2021	MON 1 - 0 DIN 20% 23% 57%	21	34	13	+2

Matches

Stade Brestois II

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
03 Sep. 2022	BRE 0 - 1 USF 33% 24% 43%	28	34	6	0
27 Aug. 2022	BRE 0 - 1 SBR 39% 22% 40%	28	31	3	0
04 Jun. 2022	PLO 0 - 4 BRE 23% 21% 56%	27	21	6	+1
28 May. 2022	BRE 3 - 5 LOC 40% 24% 36%	29	31	2	-2
21 May. 2022	DIN 2 - 4 BRE 63% 20% 17%	27	36	9	+2