Mont-Gaillard vs Le Havre II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
55.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
8º
14º
14º
40
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mont-Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
QUE
4 - 1
MGA
65%
18%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MGA
1 - 2
AGC
27%
22%
51%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MGA
1 - 2
AFV
26%
21%
54%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DIE
3 - 2
MGA
56%
21%
22%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 1
MGA
50%
22%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DIE
0 - 0
LEH
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LEH
1 - 2
AVR
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DIV
0 - 0
LEH
30%
24%
46%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LEH
1 - 0
OIS
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
OIS
3 - 0
LEH
57%
23%
21%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |