Stade Montois vs Bassin d'Arcachon Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+231%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Montois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
TAR
1 - 1
MON
45%
25%
29%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
MON
3 - 1
SAI
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
COG
2 - 1
MON
58%
22%
19%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
MON
3 - 2
TOF
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 0
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SAI
3 - 1
BAS
42%
27%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 3
TOU
29%
26%
44%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
AVI
0 - 3
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
BLA
1 - 1
BAS
53%
25%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 0
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +3 |