Gaucho 2 Knock-outs Semi-finals
Global 0-1
Monsoon vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monsoon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
MON
8 - 0
NOV
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
MON
36%
25%
40%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
PEL
36%
25%
38%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
ECS
1 - 0
MON
75%
15%
9%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
PEL
1 - 0
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
MON
36%
25%
40%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
URS
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
URS
1 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SGA
1 - 2
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |