Monsoon vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
72.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monsoon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
PEL
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
PEL
0 - 0
MON
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
PAS
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
PAS
0 - 0
MON
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
URS
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
CFC
1 - 4
CAX
8%
15%
77%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
CAX
4 - 2
CFC
78%
14%
7%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CSA
2 - 1
CAX
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CAX
2 - 0
ABC
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CAX
2 - 1
FER
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |