Monreal CD vs Ariza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
39.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+439%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monreal CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 1
MON
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
CAL
45%
23%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
PRA
5 - 4
MON
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
RIV
56%
20%
24%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
TOR
4 - 0
MON
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 1
HER
32%
22%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ATE
3 - 2
ARI
64%
18%
19%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 1
EPI
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BOQ
1 - 2
ARI
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ARI
3 - 1
CDB
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |