Monovar vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monovar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
DEN
3 - 0
MON
59%
25%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
MON
0 - 2
CPO
43%
27%
30%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
ALB
1 - 0
MON
39%
28%
33%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1991 |
MON
1 - 1
CAN
59%
24%
16%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
PIN
0 - 2
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
ASP
2 - 2
ELC
25%
29%
47%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
UDC
5 - 2
ASP
76%
16%
7%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
ASP
0 - 1
JAV
28%
28%
44%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1991 |
PEG
1 - 0
ASP
51%
27%
22%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
ASP
0 - 0
LOL
32%
28%
40%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |