Monovar C.D. vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monovar C.D.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CFP
2 - 1
MON
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
MON
0 - 9
RAV
13%
19%
68%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
MON
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
MON
2 - 4
CDC
18%
21%
61%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
MON
1 - 3
TOR
64%
20%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
RAF
3 - 5
ALT
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
RAF
2 - 2
CDC
33%
23%
44%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 0
RAF
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
RAF
1 - 1
UDF
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 0
RAF
73%
16%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |