Monovar A vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monovar A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ELD
2 - 0
MON
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
MON
3 - 1
UEC
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
UDF
4 - 0
MON
55%
20%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
MON
0 - 3
ALG
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
PIN
3 - 5
MON
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
RAF
2 - 2
GUS
16%
19%
66%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 2
RAF
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
RAF
1 - 2
ASP
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
RAF
3 - 2
ELD
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
UEC
1 - 2
RAF
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |